BOXING BETTING TIPS
Bettingpro.com’s writers offer free boxing betting tips & predictions for the big fights both in the United Kingdom and across the globe.
Deontay Wilder v Tyson Fury (December 1)
Has this fight come too early for Tyson Fury? That is the biggest question as he prepares to challenge unbeaten WBC heavyweight champion Deontay Wilder in Los Angeles on December 1.
The outspoken 30-year-old was on top of the world when he surprisingly ended Wladimir Klitschko’s dominance of the division in November 2015, but out-of-the-ring issues prevented him from ever defending his crowns and it was not until June of this year that he finally stepped back inside a professional boxing ring.
That night he recorded a farcical fourth-round stoppage win over Sefer Seferi who, in all honesty, had no right being in the ring with a former world champion, and he followed that up with a convincing but unspectacular decision win over Francesco Pianeta in August. Fury claimed afterwards that it was all about getting rounds under his belt against Pianeta, and having been joined by Wilder in the ring it was confirmed that he would be the next challenger to the American’s throne before the end of the year.
“We are two men who will fight anybody,” Fury said. “They called, I answered. I said ‘send me a contract’, they sent me a contract. I said ‘yes’ and now he gets his chance to fight the lineal heavyweight champion of the world. I got my rounds here tonight, but one thing I promise when I go to Las Vegas is I’m knocking you the f**k out.”
Wilder, of course, was not going to take that taunt laying down and told Fury that “he had better wake up and apologise” if he ever even dreamed of taking the WBC belt away from him, adding that the former heavyweight champion was going to find out “what it feels like to get hit by the ‘Bronze Bomber’” when the two men finally throw down.
Both men will continue to talk a good fight between now and fight night, but who will leave Los Angeles as the WBC heavyweight champion of the world, setting up a potential mega-money unification scrap with Anthony Joshua next year?
Let’s make no bones about it, Fury is the better boxer out of these two men. When it comes to movement, footwork and defence there is no denying that the British fighter has the edge. But when it comes to raw power, there are not many men on the planet who are in Wilder’s league. In 40 professional outings he has been taken the distance just once, by Bermane Stiverne back in 2015, and when the two men met again in 2017 Wilder was in no mood to put in a long shift. He destroyed the challenger inside a round and the line from Rocky IV sums it up best, “whatever he hits, he destroys”. But can he ‘destroy’ Fury?
For me Wilder is massively overrated. His record of opponents is hugely underwhelming and his technique is dreadful for a world champion. He relies on his violent KO power and size advantage to bully and knockout opponents, and on this night he will be the smaller man for once. The Fury of a couple of years ago would have been a great bet to frustrate and out-point the champion, but after such a lengthy absence from the ring and having faced nothing in the way of a test since returning, can we really expect so see that Fury turn up in LA?
I am not convinced despite Fury’s impressive efforts in shifting the weight he piled on during his absence from the sport. As the fight wears on ring rust and tiredness will creep into his game and when it does he will present the champion with an opening. When that happens I am backing Wilder to take it and improve his perfect record to 41-0.
Saul Alvarez v Rocky Fielding (December 15)
Saul Alvarez’s stock has never been higher since he became the first boxer to beat Gennady Golovkin in the professional ranks back in September, becoming the unified middleweight world champion in the process. Having been accused of running for much of the first fight, which ended in a controversial split decision draw, ‘Canelo’ adopted a completely different approach in the return meeting as he took the fight to ‘GGG’ and was rewarded with a Majority Decision victory.
A rematch between the pair appears to be almost inevitable, but before that happens Alvarez will step into the boxing ring at least one more time and he is looking to add another accolade to his glittering CV having already been crowned middleweight and light-middleweight champion in his career. The 28-year-old Mexican is stepping up to the super-middleweight ranks for the first time in his career and he will be challenging WBA champion Rocky Fielding at Madison Square Garden.
“This is a new challenge, to be moving up in weight,” he said. “This is a risk that I am taking. I’m entering the comfort zone of the champion, but I’ll take this challenge on because that’s what I need to do to make history in my career. I want to be one of the top ten Mexican fighters to become a three-division world champion.”
Reports claim Alvarez’s camp had always been looking for the fighter to return to the ring before the end of the year, but it must be said that the choice of opponent is massively surprising with Fielding an unknown quantity for the American audience.
The 31-year-old Englishman finally made it to the mountain top in the super-middleweight division back in July when he produced the performance of a lifetime to stop Tyron Zeuge in round five and become the new WBA champion. But as good as that performance was, Fielding will have to top it by some distance if he is to enjoy a successful first defence by becoming only the second man, after Floyd Mayweather Jr, to beat Alvarez inside a professional boxing ring.
It is quite fitting that the massive underdog is called Rocky, because if he pulls this off it will be fairytale stuff that you would only expect to see in a Hollywood movie. But can we really expect him to inflict a very damaging defeat on ‘Canelo’?
“Yes, it’s Canelo and yes, it’s at Madison Square Garden, but I wouldn’t take it if I didn’t think I could beat him,” Fielding told Sky Sports. “He’s moving up from middleweight and I am big super-middleweight. I’ve got the height and the reach so I am up against a tough fighter, one of the elite fighters, but I’ve got to be in it to win it. I am going there confident of winning it and I’m confident I can win it, I’m not going there just because it’s Canelo at Madison Square Garden. I am going there to defend my title. I want to keep my title.”
The one advantage Fielding will have over the two-weight world champion is size. The 6’1” Liverpudlian is much taller than 5’9” Alvarez, boasting a 4.5” reach advantage, and he has spent a lot more time boxing in this higher weight class than the challenger, who is stepping up to 168lbs after spending his career fighting between the welterweight and middleweight divisions.
But while he has a size advantage, every other factor swings in the favour of Alvarez. Fielding is not the quickest and he has a tendency to load up on punches, and that is something ‘Canelo’ can exploit to devastating effect because he will be the much quicker fighter with a lot faster handspeed. He should be able to pick apart Fielding at Madison Square Garden and I do not think it will take long for him to do it. Alvarez will work over the Englishman and knock him out in the first half of the fight.
BEST BOOKMAKERS FOR BETTING ON BOXING
Boxing remains an incredibly popular sport to bet on and that means there is no shortage of bookmaker websites where you can place your bets, but with so many bookies to choose from which ones offer the most competitive odds and the best service?
Not only does Bettingpro.com offer advice on what bets you should place on boxing, we also offer advice on which bookmakers you should use. Our comprehensive reviews give you a rundown of what you can expect from the bookies when you become a customer of theirs.
Is there an incentive to sign up at the website – ie. free bets, risk-free bets etc? Are their odds competitive? Do they offer much variety in the way of markets? What special promotions can I use to insure my bet or boost my pay-out if it is a winner? What standard of customer service can I expect?
All of those questions, and more, are answered in our reviews that you can access HERE.
BOXING FREE BETS & SIGN-UP OFFERS
The sign-up incentive has become a staple of the betting industry with bookmakers now offering new customers the chance to claim free bets, risk-free bets and more when they register for a new online account.
But what offers are available to you right now? Below is Bettingpro.com’s favourite bookmaker welcome offers at this time…
BOXING BETTING TIPS GUIDE: HOW TO BET ON THE SWEET SCIENCE
Boxing continues to be a popular sport to bet on and that is because the bookmakers offer no shortage of markets for every major fight as well as big domestic bust-ups. This wide selection of markets gives you the chance to make a healthy profit when betting on boxing, and here are some of the Bettingpro.com’s favourite boxing betting markets, using the Anthony Joshua v Joseph Parker world heavyweight title fight as an example…
Method Of Victory
This market is simple – you pick the winner of the market and how they will win the fight. By adding the method of victory on to simply backing a fighter, you give the price a nice shot in the arm. Joshua is as short as 1/12 to win this fight, but having stopped all of his previous 20 opponents you may like his chances of stopping Parker too. Now, odds of 1/3 are not particularly appealing, but you can see from this example that betting on a fighter’s method of victory can give his odds a healthy boost. And when it comes to bouts that are much closer to call, this market offers a great way to make a tidy profit.
The Total Rounds market gives punters the chance to bet on how many rounds the fight will or will not last. So, for example, if you believe Joshua will win in the last three rounds you could back Over 8.5 Total Rounds at 11/8, and this bet would still be a winner even if Parker won the fight as long as the bout went at least eight-and-a-half rounds. Alternatively, you may like Joshua’s chances of taking out Parker inside six rounds and Under 6.5 Total Rounds can be backed at Even money. And just like the Overs, this bet would be a winner if Parker won the fight, as long as he stopped Joshua in less than six-and-a-half rounds. This market covers every round from 1.5 Total Rounds to 10.5 Total Rounds so there are plenty of options.
One of the most popular ways to bet on combat sports is to bet on which round the fight will finish, and this market covers every single round in the fight. The odds can be quite lucrative too because you are pinpointing the ending of the bout down to just one round, so if you like Joshua for a 10th round stoppage you could get odds as big as 16/1, but if you believe Parker will get the nod from the judges after the full 12 rounds you could get a price as big as 33/1. If there is a market where you can make a big profit, it is this one.
Round Group Betting
But perhaps betting on a single round in a 12-round fight is not that appealing to you? If it is not, we highly recommend this boxing betting odds market because it lumps together multiple rounds and you can still get good odds. Some bookmakers will group together three rounds at a time, while others will simply split the fight in half to offer Rounds 1-6 and Rounds 7-12. When it comes to choosing a bookmaker it is simply down to how accurate you want to be with your prediction. In his most recent outings Joshua has gone into the second half of the fight so Rounds 7-12 could be tempting at 9/5, but if you want to narrow it down to the last three rounds, 10-12, the price is a much bigger 6/1. There are many options and the bigger the grouping of rounds the shorter the odds will get, but even at the shortest price, you can still make a nice profit with a winning bet.